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CoreMacro

| Europe

Country-by-country analysis of Europe’s economy, policy, and politics, pinpointing opportunities across the region.

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We discuss the technical and political problems with helicopter money, plus the near-term outlook for the euro area economy and markets.
The euro area's nominal GDP and wage bill are growing at 3%, suggesting that fears of deflation are overdone. But a higher wage bill has implications for profits growth.
Special Report One of our highest-conviction investment ideas for the next few years.
The ECB's intended purchases of corporate bonds will not sustainably lift the asset-class. But we have found a compelling long-term opportunity in the sovereign bond market, and a way to hedge Brexit risk.
It is the perfect time to add protection, given the 13% rally in stocks over the past six weeks and the current steepness of the VIX term-structure.
Special Report Headline and aggregate-economy statistics such as GDP and income are no longer representative statistics for the living standards of the vast majority of the population. This Special Report discusses the implications for politics, economics and investment.
Special Report Most of the economic arguments in favor of the U.K. leaving the EU do not carry much weight, as we discuss in this collaboration between BCA's Geopolitical Strategy and European Investment Strategy. However, the probability is a coin toss - much higher than investors tend to think. We review the geopolitical and investment implications of the "Leave" and "Remain" scenarios.
Cutting through the hype that will surround policy initiatives today, the ECB is caught between a rock and a hard place. We explain why, and what it means for investors.
Are the arguments for overweighting European equities still valid? If so, overweighting relative to what?
Where is the most likely mispricing of interest rates today? Plus our latest thoughts on the U.K.'s June 23 referendum on EU membership, and its market implications.